GDP growth gallop to 7.7% in Q4, Core scores 4.7% in April

gdp growth rate
Forcing all forecasters to beat the dust, the Indian economy registered a growth rate of 7.7 per cent in quarter 4 of the last fiscal, the fastest in seven quarters, and adding to the momentum the country’s core sector also clocked 4.7 % growth rate April this year. The trend shows that the economy is on the right track and even set for even higher growth in the future. Construction, manufacturing and agriculture were the main contributors to growth in the fourth quarter. The government also said it would not lower the estimate for the current fiscal. Commenting on the emerging stats, Economic Affairs Secretary Subhash Chandra Garg says, “I don’t think we are revising our forecast for the current year 2018-19 which was indicated at 7.5 per cent and that we retain it at this moment at this level.” Echoing the sentiment, Finance Secretary Hasmukh Adhia said the increasing trend of quarterly GDP numbers indicates that the structural reform undertaken by the government has begun paying rich dividends. “What is most noticeable is the increase in the Growth Rate of GVA of the manufacturing sector in the last two quarters of 2017-18 at 8.5 per cent and 9.1 per cent at constant price. We would like to believe that GST has given a big boost to the industrial sector,” he said. CII Director-General Chandrajit Banerjee said the GDP data shows that the rally in investment demand is continuing apace as gross fixed capital formation rose 9.2 per cent in the fourth quarter against only 4.8 per cent in the previous quarter.

On the other hand, an increase in cement and coal production pushed core sector growth to 4.7 per cent in April, compared to 2.6 per cent in the same month last year while it was at 4.4 per cent in March this year. The core sector comprises eight key industries and contributes over 40 per cent to overall industrial production. According to data released by Commerce and Industry Ministry, while cement production increased by 16.6 per cent in April this year over April last, coal production went up by 16 per cent during the same period. Higher cement outgo indicates construction sector is accelerating and this is good news for the entire economy, especially from employment point of view as construction sector has very high potential to create direct and indirect job generation. Increase in coal production has come at a time when there is higher demand from the power sector There is also an indication that if production continues at the same rate during the coming months, the electricity situation will improve. Meanwhile, electricity generation increased by 2.2 per cent in April. Its cumulative index increased by 5.3 per cent during April-March, 2017-18 over the corresponding period of previous year. Fertilizers production went up by 4.6 per cent in April while steel production increased by 3.5 per cent. Among petroleum products, natural gas and refinery production went up by 7.4 per cent and 2.7 per cent respectively.